How Small Businesses Can Operationalize AI in Marketing by 2030

Challenges in Mixed Media Models Highlight Linear TV's Advertising Ineffectiveness

Update Understanding the Measurement Gap of Advertising Models As traditional advertising methods take a back seat to streaming platforms, many in the marketing realm are grappling with how to effectively track and measure their ad spends. This struggle is primarily a result of outdated attribution models, particularly Mixed Media Models (MMMs) that fail to deliver accurate assessments of linear television's effectiveness. Recent discussions in the marketing community highlight these very challenges, fueling debates on how brands should allocate their advertising budgets. The Dominance of Linear TV in Ad Spending Amid Changing Viewer Preferences Despite a clear shift towards streaming services, linear television still commands a hefty share of advertising spending. WPP Media's latest research shows that linear television is set to capture approximately 72.6% of total television revenue, translating to about $122 billion in ad spend by the end of 2025. This figure is striking, particularly given that younger viewers have increasingly turned away from traditional TV viewing. In contrast, advertising revenue from Connected TV (CTV) is only 32.5%, indicating a significant disparity in spending despite an increasing efficiency of CTV. The data shows a concerning trend where linear TV is less effective at capturing a younger audience's attention yet continues to attract a massive budget allocation. The Over Saturation of Linear Television Advertising One of the underlying conditions contributing to ineffective advertising on linear TV is its oversaturation. According to iSpot, linear television ads are delivered at an average frequency of 26.5 exposures, significantly surpassing the 7.3 for Connected TV. This leads to diminishing returns, particularly since audiences are bombarded with repetitive ads that quickly lose their impact. Interestingly, the data reveals that the most effective campaigns on linear TV can reach peak effectiveness within the first week, after which the return on investment drops substantially. The industry's shift towards CTV is propelled not only by its growing popularity but also by its superior efficiency over extended periods. Industry Spending Patterns and Insights on CTV Adoption The spending patterns vary significantly across industries, showing that some sectors are quicker to adapt to the new advertising paradigm. The travel industry leads the way, allocating 33.3% of its impressions to Connected TV. Other sectors such as home and real estate (26.1%) and pharmaceuticals (24.1%) follow closely. However, sectors like entertainment lag considerably in their CTV adoption strategies. This variance implies that successful adaptation to changing viewer preferences hinges not only on recognizing audience behavior but also on leveraging the growing efficiency of CTV. Brands that effectively pivot these metrics can capitalize on shifts in consumer spending. Future Predictions: Bridging Measurement Gaps As the advertising landscape continues to evolve, the call for more robust measurement methodologies becomes increasingly pressing. Brands that actively invest in better analytics tools and rethink their attribution models will stand a chance in effectively capturing their target audience's behavior and preferences. It's vital for marketers to shift their perceptions regarding linear TV and embrace an integrated approach that includes modern CTV strategies. Those who can adequately measure effectiveness, irrespective of the platform, will outpace competitors still bogged down by outdated models. Final Thoughts: Where Do We Go from Here? As the advertising world grapples with these realities, the path to success lies in recognizing the limitations of current models and embracing the strengths of emerging platforms like Connected TV. It is paramount for industry professionals to engage in continuous dialogue, share strategies, and recalibrate their practices to meet a rapidly changing market landscape to stay competitive.